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How to model your future CBAM cost exposure

Looking ahead to your cost exposure

Updated over 2 months ago

How to model your 2026 CBAM cost exposure (Importer)

What drives CBAM cost

  • Import volume

  • Embedded emissions intensity & benchmarks

  • Availability of actual data, versus default values

  • CBAM certificate price (linked to EU ETS mechanics)

  • Any recognised carbon price paid abroad (where applicable)

Step-by-step process

  1. Obtain relevant supplier data from your suppliers

  2. Upload your customs import data (note you can model future imports via this upload)

  3. View the CBAM Exposure module

  4. Export data via CBAM Exposure module in order to review underlying inputs


Outputs you should aim for

  • Cost per product line

  • Cost per supplier

  • Sensitivity to emissions intensity

  • Sensitivity to EU ETS price movement

From a governance perspective, these outputs should feed into procurement, contracting, and pricing discussions.

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